Calculations for valuation models should be in addendums.

Use the attached stock report and then prepare a report analyzing the stock by answering the following qustions.

 

 

  1. I) The Story
  2. What do they do?
  3. What is the reason to buy them?
  4. Better if it is a reason to buy now.
  5. New Product / New Market
  6. Economic Cycle
  7. Theme
  8. Aging of America
  9. Greening of America

 

  1. II) Fundamental Analysis
  2. Economic Analysis
  3. Where are we in the economic cycle?
  4. Are we in a growth or value cycle?
  5. Are we in a large cap or small cap cycle?
  6. Industry Analysis
  7. What is going on in the stock’s industry?  What factors affect those companies.
  8. Where is your stock in its industry?  Largest?  Smallest?  Competitive advantages?
  9. Company Analysis
  10. Dividend Discount Models
  11. K, You Can Use: rf = 1.0 – 3.0%,  rm = 8 – 12% for large cap, rm = 12 – 16% for small cap
  12. K, using the dividend discount model
  13. g, using (ROE x b), Actual div growth, earnings growth, Div discount model
  14. Growth Model Valuation
  15. No Growth Model
  16. Present Value of Growth Opportunities
  17. Market implied Growth Rate
  18. P/E analysis, trend and projections
  19. Intrinsic P/E calculation
  20. “Normal” P/E estimate
  21. Projected Price using Normal P/E
  22. Projected Price using Relative P/E (relative to the S&P 500)
  23. Analysts earnings estimates/Opinion Ratings
  24. Insider buying or selling
  25. Financial Statement analysis
  26. Cash trends and relative positions
  27. Ratio Analysis – Trend and relative analysis
  28. Price to book, current ratio, debt to equity
  29. Trend Analysis of earnings
  30. Optional: Any other concepts we have covered (short interest, option chain, etc,)

 

III)  Technical Analysis (Include printed chart with trend and support lines indicated, if they exist)

  1. Support and Resistance
  2. Is it currently trending up or down?
  3. Moving Average Analysis (optional)

 

  1. V)  Projections and recommendations
  2. Predicted value at some point in the future
  3. Calculate projected holding period return for a holding period of your choice
  4. Recommended buy price if the stock is not currently a buy
  5. Recommended target price
  6. Recommended “stop loss” price
  7. Risks to be aware of

 

Support data must be included in addition to the actual report.  You are free to use any other sources for information.  Your full report should also include any other source data referenced in your recommendations.  For instance, if you quote an S&P research report or Morningstar stock report, they should be included as appendixes to your analysis.  Any numbers presented in the report must include support data.

 

Calculations for valuation models should be in addendums.  An Excel spreadsheet must also be incorporated in your report.  More details on this requirement will be given later.

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