Now write a fictional short story in which a rational paranormal investigator IS convinced by the available evidence to believe in the existence of intelligent alien visitors to earth. Note that the investigator is rational. So this isn’t a story about someone gullible enough to believe when the evidence isn’t strong. And just to make it a little more difficult, let’s say that your investigator character cannot have any direct contact with the aliens or alien artifacts herself. In fact, imagine that all that your investigator has access to are files (like the X-Files!) that might contain pictures or video or testimony, or other kinds of secondary evidence. (Note: this is like the kind of evidence that most of YOU have for aliens — stuff you can read, view, or listen to on the internet.) Your investigator must utilize the SEARCH formula (p. 222 of HTAWT), considering alternative hypotheses along with the Alien hypothesis and rating them all according to the criteria of adequacy.
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